Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002836 0.003038 0.003257 0.003513 0.003808 0.004139 0.004544
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.002553 0.002828 0.003144 0.003543 0.004042 0.004661 0.005511
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002320 0.002628 0.003000 0.003492 0.004150 0.005035 0.006391
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002209 0.002555 0.002987 0.003590 0.004449 0.005711 0.007910
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002111 0.002481 0.002959 0.003654 0.004705 0.006382 0.009726
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001987 0.002359 0.002852 0.003588 0.004749 0.006720 0.011112
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001861 0.002226 0.002715 0.003462 0.004672 0.006824 0.012063
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001789 0.002158 0.002662 0.003450 0.004777 0.007286 0.014238
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001660 0.002005 0.002478 0.003221 0.004479 0.006884 0.013709
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001616 0.001967 0.002455 0.003240 0.004617 0.007416 0.016604
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001593 0.001957 0.002472 0.003322 0.004881 0.008313 0.022320
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001553 0.001919 0.002444 0.003328 0.005001 0.008914 0.028352
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001526 0.001902 0.002450 0.003397 0.005271 0.010080 0.044634
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001483 0.001858 0.002413 0.003388 0.005382 0.010872 0.068594
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001432 0.001800 0.002349 0.003326 0.005369 0.011277 0.100246
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001415 0.001793 0.002365 0.003409 0.005701 0.013145 0.777898
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001393 0.001777 0.002366 0.003466 0.005985 0.015164 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001351 0.001728 0.002309 0.003405 0.005962 0.015773 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001301 0.001665 0.002227 0.003289 0.005777 0.015447 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001274 0.001635 0.002199 0.003278 0.005872 0.016763 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001211 0.001550 0.002075 0.003068 0.005403 0.014564 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001193 0.001533 0.002065 0.003086 0.005558 0.016176 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001186 0.001534 0.002083 0.003161 0.005891 0.019485 NaN